The Future Leadership of the Indian National Congress: Ashok Gehlot and Beyond
The Indian National Congress (INC) is grappling with significant challenges as it seeks a new leader in a rapidly changing political landscape. The speculation over Ashok Gehlot's potential appointment as the next Congress president in 2022 has sparked intense debate within the party.
Congress in Decline: Why Ashok Gehlot May Opt to Stay Put
With the INC in a state of terminal decline, the question of whether Ashok Gehlot should leave his position as the Chief Minister of Rajasthan to take on the presidency of the party is a pressing one. Ashok Gehlot, if given the choice, would prefer to retain his role as the Chief Minister, as it offers more prestige and control over the state's affairs.
However, a cursory examination of party dynamics reveals that no significant leader at the national level is actively seeking to take up party work. The entrenched leaders, including Ashok Gehlot, Bhupendra Singh Hooda, and others, are primarily focused on advancing their personal interests rather than the well-being of the party.
The Potential Impact of Ashok Gehlot's Presidency
If Ashok Gehlot takes on the role of Congress president, it would likely be beneficial for the party, given the current situation. Sachin Pilot, who is focused on revitalizing the party in Rajasthan, might bring some positive changes. However, many veterans within the INC would likely suggest to Sonia Gandhi that Bharat Jodo Yatra has rejuvenated the party, and they are confident that Rah...
Potential Scenarios for the Congress
The Congress might delay naming a candidate for the presidency to defer to Sachin Pilot's aspirations for the Chief Minister's position in Rajasthan. Announcing Gehlot as the CM candidate during the elections could lead to party splits, reminiscent of the situation in Madhya Pradesh. Further, the image of Gehlot's government has steadily declined following the Udaipur incident. The BJP is likely to exploit this negative image to its advantage.
In any case, announcing Gehlot as the CM candidate is detrimental for the Congress. Instead, they should fight the elections in states like Chhattisgarh without naming a CM candidate to avoid defections.
Additionally, even if Ashok Gehlot becomes the next president of Congress, he would likely be a puppet of Priyanka Gandhi and Robert Vadra. Vadra has already announced his entry into politics and is expected to be 55 by 2024. Gerard sets, he needs someone to organize and manage the factions within Congress. While Gehlot's impeccable organization might keep him as the Congress president until the 2029 elections, younger leaders like Madan Deora or Sachin Pilot might better energize and rejuvenate the party's cadre structure.
Ultimately, the party needs a leader who can ensure the growth of the Congress until it regains its former strength as a formidable opposition in Indian politics.